
Dylan AnderGenerative Engine Optimization
What do Google and ChatGPT have in common?
More than you think. And the answer decides whether anyone finds you for the next ten years.
The short version
- Google and ChatGPT are the same machine. Both are consensus engines. Neither has ever had an original thought. The only thing that changed is how many sources get a vote.
- You cannot rank in a consensus machine. You can only be agreed with. Google counted who pointed at you. AI systems count who agrees about you.
- Branded web mentions predict AI visibility three times better than backlinks (0.664 versus 0.218 across 75,000 brands). Mentions are the new links.
- Getting cited is not the same as getting recommended. In one study, a brand's own page was cited while a competitor got the recommendation 69% of the time.
- AI did not kill SEO. Search rank is still the strongest predictor of whether a model cites you.
I. The urge
Before there were words, there were questions.
The urge to know came first. Language showed up later, as a workaround.
The first index entry was a hand
Roughly forty thousand years ago, in a cave on Sulawesi, somebody pressed a palm to the wall and blew powdered pigment around it. What was left is an outline, a negative space in the shape of a person. It is close to the oldest message we have from anyone, and it says one thing.
I was here.
That is not decoration. It is a record, made so a stranger arriving later could retrieve it. Every technology since is a variation on the same move.
A note on that number, since the second half of this essay is about being careful with numbers. These dates measure the mineral crust that grew over the paint, so they are minimums, and the method is contested. At one Spanish site, five samples taken within five centimetres of the same hand returned ages of 14,700, 23,100, 35,300, 55,200 and 66,700 years.
Only the oldest gets quoted. Hold that thought too.
Aubert et al., Nature 514, 2014 · five-sample spread from White et al., Journal of Human Evolution 144, 2020
Knowledge used to live inside people
For most of human history, if you wanted to know something, you had to find the person who knew it. Then you had to get them to like you enough to tell you.
Knowing was social. It cost you a relationship, a favour, a walk across a valley. The information was never separable from the human holding it.
Hold on to that, because everything in the second half of this essay depends on it. We are about to spend twenty-four years pretending it stopped being true.
The library was the first time knowledge outlived the knower
Alexandria did not invent writing. It invented the pile. Put enough scrolls in one room and the room knows more than any person in it, and keeps knowing after they die.
Ancient sources put the collection anywhere from forty thousand scrolls to seven hundred thousand. The classicist Roger Bagnall argued in 2002 that essentially all of those numbers are fantasy. Even the founding myth of information storage is a claim nobody checked.
Storage was never the hard part
Retrieval was. A room full of scrolls with no finding system is just a fire hazard with good intentions.
So the real invention was not the library. It was the index. The catalog. The thing that stands between a question and an answer and makes the crossing survivable.
Every fight in marketing for the last thirty years has been a fight about who controls that crossing.
November 1998
Google!
Search the web using Google!
Index contains ~25 million pages (soon to be much bigger)
Copyright ©1997-8 Stanford University
A white page and one box. That is the entire product. The line about twenty-five million pages is real, copied from the page's own source code.
Google never read those pages
This is the part almost nobody internalised, and the whole essay turns on it. Google did not evaluate whether a page was good. It counted who pointed at it.
Brin and Page said so themselves in the 1998 Stanford paper: "Academic citation literature has been applied to the web, largely by counting citations."
The patent went to Stanford, not Google. Filed January 1998, granted the fourth of September 2001, three years to the day after Google filed for incorporation.
Brin, S. & Page, L., "The Anatomy of a Large-Scale Hypertextual Web Search Engine", WWW7, April 1998 · US Patent 6,285,999 B1
Then search rewired us
We stopped storing answers. We started storing the path to answers.
Betsy Sparrow and colleagues showed this at Harvard and Columbia in 2011. When people typed facts into a computer, they remembered the folder the fact was saved in far better than the fact itself. Location recall scored 0.49. The actual information scored 0.23.
Worth saying plainly, because this essay is about claim specificity: the most famous experiment in that paper has failed to replicate twice, in 2018 and again in 2020. The memory results above are not the ones that failed. I am telling you anyway.
Sparrow, Liu & Wegner, "Google Effects on Memory", Science, 2011 · replication failures: Camerer et al., 2018; Hesselmann, 2020
It also taught us to talk like machines
Nobody says best running shoes flat feet 2026 out loud to another human being. We learned to strip our questions down into keyword shrapnel because that is what the box could handle.
In 1998 the average AltaVista search ran 2.35 words. That number comes from a log of 575 million real queries, which makes it one of the better-sourced facts in this entire piece. By 2025 the average Google query had reached 4.0 words.
For twenty-four years, we did the adapting.
Silverstein et al., Analysis of a Very Large AltaVista Query Log, DEC SRC, 1998 · Semrush, 69M Google sessions, July 2025
30 November 2022, 18:00 UTC
how do i get more customers
Happy to help. Before I suggest anything, can I ask what you sell and who normally buys it? The right answer for a local service business looks nothing like the right answer for a software company, and I would rather ask than guess.
Free Research Preview: ChatGPT is optimized for dialogue. Our goal is to make AI systems more natural to interact with, and your feedback will help us improve our systems and make them safer.
A dark page and one box. Same geometry, twenty-four years later. Look at what changed and what did not.
The difference was never intelligence
It was that the box talked back.
OpenAI's own launch note described a system that could "answer followup questions, admit its mistakes, challenge incorrect premises, and reject inappropriate requests." Not one item on that list is about knowing more things. Every item is about conduct.
They shipped it as a free research preview and expected a quiet week. Five days later it crossed a million users. By February 2026, 900 million people were using it weekly.
The splash screen offered three examples: explain quantum computing, creative ideas for a 10 year old's birthday, how to make an HTTP request in Javascript. A physicist, a parent and a developer. They had no idea.
OpenAI, "ChatGPT: Optimizing Language Models for Dialogue", 30 November 2022 · Altman via TechStartups, 5 December 2022 · 900M figure, OpenAI, February 2026. Interface colours come from ChatGPT's stylesheet as archived on launch day; the example prompts are reconstructed, since the interface bundle was never archived.
Search was a transaction
You made a request. You got a list. The exchange was over. Nobody ever thanked a search engine.
Chat is a relationship
People correct it. People apologise to it. People tell it things they would never type into a search box, because a search box felt like a filing cabinet and this feels like a room.
The query length data tracks the shift exactly. Traditional Google queries average 4.0 words. Queries into Google's AI Mode average 7.22, measured on the same panel in the same period.
People type nearly twice as much when they believe something is listening.
III. What they actually share
So what do they have in common?
The lazy answer is that they are both search. People say it constantly, and it is wrong in a way that matters, because it is the reason most advice about AI visibility is worthless.
If the two things were just search with different paint, the playbook would transfer unchanged. It does not transfer. Anyone who has tried already knows that.
Google counted links
A link was one site vouching for another. Google never had to understand a page. It only had to count the vouching.
Language models count agreement
A model has no opinion about you. What it has is a statistical record of how consistently the internet says the same thing about you, across sources that do not control each other.
And the data says the second one now matters more than the first. Ahrefs measured 75,000 brands against AI Overview visibility in May 2025.
Branded web mentions correlated at 0.664. Backlinks came in at 0.218. Mentions are roughly three times the signal that links are.
Ahrefs, Linehan & Guan, May 2025. Spearman correlation across 75,000 brands, filtered to Domain Rating above 40. Correlation is not causation, and the authors say so.
The thesis
Google and ChatGPT are the same machine. Both are consensus engines. Neither has ever had an original thought.
The only thing that changed is how many sources get a vote.
Prediction is the mechanism. Consensus is the fuel.
Both systems output the most agreed-upon thing. One did it by counting citations between documents. The other does it by counting co-occurrence across a corpus. The plumbing is different and the logic is identical.
Which means the shape of the job changed underneath everyone.
You cannot rank in a consensus machine. You can only be agreed with.
There is no position ten in a paragraph. There is no page two of an answer. Either the model names you or it does not, and that decision was made long before the person asked, by everything the internet had already said about you.
IV. The mirror
In 1998, nobody knew what to do with the box either
Marketers bought directory submissions. They stuffed the meta keywords tag until it read like a ransom note. They traded links in rings with strangers.
Most of that was dead within five years. The people who won were the ones who worked out early that a link was a vote, and behaved accordingly, while everyone else treated links as decoration.
Then the window priced in
Here is what that cost, in numbers nobody disputes because they came out of SEC filings.
In the third quarter of 1998, the average paid click on GoTo.com cost three cents. By 2001 it was twenty cents. In 2026 the average Google Ads click costs $5.42.
That is roughly twenty-seven times the 2001 price. Inflation over the same period was about 1.8 times. The rest is what it costs to arrive late.
The gap between knowing and everybody knowing lasted about three years. Then it closed, and it has stayed closed for twenty.
We are in the equivalent moment right now, and most people are spending it arguing about whether it is happening.
GoTo.com Form 10-K, FY2000 · WordStream Google Ads Benchmarks 2026, 13,474 US campaigns, median $5.42
The same five mistakes, twice
1998 panic versus 2026 panic
Read down the middle column and then the right one. If you have been in this industry more than ten years, this table is going to feel personal.
| The move | 1998 to 2003 | 2023 to 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| The cheap trick | Meta keyword stuffing | Stuffing pages with prompt-bait |
| The paid shortcut | Directory submissions | Buying listicle placements |
| The magic tag | Meta keywords | Schema markup and llms.txt |
| The denial | "Search is a fad" | "Nobody buys from ChatGPT" |
| The thing that worked | Being cited by others | Being agreed with by others |
One correction before you get comfortable
Google is not dying. StatCounter had it at 91.3% of global search in July 2026, up from 89.9% in March. The 2024 dip recovered.
This is not a story about replacement. It is a second machine running the same logic beside the first, and both now decide whether you exist.
The way you win an open window has not changed since I built and sold an agency by being the split testing guy. You own one position. Not a keyword list. One position, in one sentence, that you are willing to be boring about for three years.
StatCounter GlobalStats, July 2026. It samples referral pageviews, not queries, so zero-click answers are invisible to it.
V. How people actually decide
Step away from marketing for a second
Think about the last thing you bought that cost more than a dinner. You did not build a spreadsheet of ten options and score them on weighted criteria. Nobody has ever done that.
You narrowed to two or three almost immediately, on grounds you would struggle to defend, and then you looked for permission to pick the one you already wanted.
And then you asked somebody
You always did. The cave wall, the elder, the librarian, the forum, the group chat, the one friend who is annoying about coffee.
Same behaviour every time, different surface. The technology keeps changing and the instinct underneath it has not moved in forty thousand years.
In person, a conversation comes with scaffolding
You never notice it because it is free. The other person asks a follow-up you did not think to ask. You hear them hesitate before the word "probably" and you weight it correctly. You watch their face lose interest and you change tack.
Most of all, you get permission to say "wait, what?" without feeling stupid. That single affordance is doing enormous work, and no interface offered it for twenty-four years.
The search box removed every piece of that.
Ten blue links and nobody to ask. For twenty-four years we called that progress.
Chat put the scaffolding back
That is the real reason adoption looked the way it did. Not raw capability. Manners.
Go back to OpenAI's launch list one more time: answer follow-up questions, admit mistakes, challenge incorrect premises. That is a description of a decent conversational partner. It is not a description of a better index.
People did not switch because the machine got smarter. They switched because it finally behaved like the person they had been trying to find since the cave.
What it already cost
Wikipedia is the canary
In October 2025 the Wikimedia Foundation reported human pageviews down about 8% year over year, after rebuilding their bot detection and finding real demand had dropped underneath it. Roughly 90% of Wikipedia's visitors have historically arrived through Google. The Foundation's explanation was direct: search engines increasingly answer the question instead of linking to whoever answered it.
Cloudflare put a number on the trade. In July 2025, for every visitor Google sent a site, it crawled about five pages. OpenAI crawled 1,091 per referral. Anthropic crawled 38,000.
That is the deal on the table. The machines read everything and send back almost nothing. Being read is now the product.
Wikimedia Foundation, Miller, October 2025 · Cloudflare Radar, "The crawl-to-click gap", August 2025
VI. Forward
Live is the next scaffold
Voice that interrupts you. Screen share where the thing watches you work. Agents that ask a clarifying question before doing the task instead of after ruining it.
It is the same move again, and it points one direction. The interface keeps bending toward how people already behaved. Technology has been catching up to us since the cave wall. It was never the other way around.
Halfway
Every interface since the cave wall has been an attempt to ask a person. We finally built one that answers.
Which means your job stopped being ranking. Your job is being the answer somebody else gives.
Here is the second half: seven things to do, and four things people are telling you that are wrong.
VII. The playbook · One
Baseline before you touch anything
Write twenty-five prompts a real buyer would type. Not keywords. Sentences, with the mess left in. Run every one through ChatGPT, Perplexity, Google AI Mode and Claude, and log three things: were you named, were you cited, and who got named instead.
That grid is your GA4 for LLMs. Most brands have never once looked at it, which is remarkable given how much they spend guessing.
Do it this week: twenty-five prompts, four engines, one spreadsheet. It takes an afternoon and it will change what you argue about in your next meeting.
If an afternoon is more than you have right now, run the free AI visibility audit and it will do a first pass on whether the engines name you at all.
Two
Own one position
Pick the single question you intend to be the answer to, and write it as one sentence: when somebody asks X, the answer is us.
I sold an agency on the back of one of these. I was the split testing guy. Not the growth guy, not the CRO guy, not the full-funnel partner. Narrow enough to be boring, specific enough to be repeatable by someone else at a dinner party.
That last part is the whole test. A consensus machine cannot amplify a position that other people cannot restate.
Three
Earn agreement somewhere other than your own website
Your site is one vote. It is a vote the model knows you control, which is exactly why it is worth less than you want it to be.
Ahrefs tested this across nearly ten thousand AI answers in mid-2026. For a brand that already had third-party coverage, 94% of new mentions came from content it did not own. Only 6% came from its own pages.
Now the complication, because this is where most GEO advice lies to you. For a brand with no third-party coverage, the numbers flipped: 82% came from its own pages. And the largest study published, 11.84 billion citations analysed by Profound, found company websites make up about 57% of all AI citations.
So "Reddit runs the models" is true at the top of the distribution and false across the whole of it. Your own site still matters. It stops being sufficient the moment other people start talking about your category.
Do it this week: pick the three surfaces where your buyers already argue with each other, and go be genuinely useful on them under your own name.
One warning. Google's spam policies were updated in May 2026 to name "attempting to manipulate generative AI responses" as spam. There is a real line between earning coverage and manufacturing it, and anyone who bought links in 2005 knows exactly where it is.
Ahrefs, Makosiewicz, July 2026. 34 pages, 9,886 answers. Observational, not controlled · Google spam policies, May 2026
Four
Server-render or be invisible
AI crawlers do not run your JavaScript. They fetch the HTML and read what is in it. Anything your site paints in after load, including copy injected by a tag manager, does not exist to them.
The test takes ten seconds and needs no tools:
curl -A "GPTBot" https://yoursite.com
Read what comes back. If your headline, your proof, or your structured data is missing from that response, it is missing from the model. This essay passes its own test, which felt like the minimum.
Five
Write to be lifted
There is peer-reviewed evidence for this, which is rarer in this field than the confidence levels suggest. The KDD 2024 paper that named generative engine optimization tested nine ways of editing a page and measured visibility across ten thousand queries.
Adding quotations lifted visibility 42.6%. Adding statistics lifted it 32.8%. Citing sources lifted it 27.7%. Keyword stuffing lowered it 8.8%, which should settle an argument some people are still having.
Do it this week: put a self-contained summary above your intro that answers the question completely on its own, turn your headings into the questions people actually ask, and add a comparison table to anything with commercial intent. Models lift tables constantly.
Aggarwal et al., "GEO: Generative Engine Optimization", KDD 2024, arXiv:2311.09735. 10,000 queries. Tested on GPT-3.5 era systems, so the direction is durable and the percentages are dated.
Six
Every claim gets a number, a date, or a name
"Studies show" is uncitable. A model cannot pass it along, because there is nothing to pass. "According to the Ahrefs difference-in-differences study published in May 2026" is a sentence a machine can hand to somebody else without losing anything.
This is the single highest-leverage editing rule I know, and the statistics finding above is the evidence for it. It is also why this page carries a source line under almost every section, including the ones where the source undercuts me.
Do it this week: open your best-performing page and count the unsourced claims. Fix the top five.
Seven
Entity hygiene, and I do mean hygiene
Point your organisation markup at Wikipedia, Wikidata and your verified profiles. Keep one consistent identifier across your graph. Make your brand facts identical everywhere they appear, because a model resolving you to two entities is a model that trusts neither.
This is disambiguation. It is not a growth lever, and anybody selling it as one is about to become the subject of the next section.
VIII. Four myths · One
Schema markup does not get you cited.
Ahrefs tracked 1,885 pages that added JSON-LD against about 4,000 matched controls. AI Overview citations went down4.6%, and that was the only statistically significant result in the study.
The AI Mode and ChatGPT effects came in at plus 2.4% and plus 2.2%, neither significant. Four separate tests agreed, and the study found no vertical, no authority level and no schema type where it helped.
A second study, on SSRN in February 2026, is sharper. Attribute-rich schema was cited 61.7% of the time. No schema at all scored 59.8%, a difference that is not statistically significant. Generic Article and Organization markup, the kind most sites actually ship, scored 41.6%. Worse than nothing.
The strongest argument against me
In April 2026, AirOps and Kevin Indig analysed 16,851 queries and found pages with JSON-LD cited 38.5% of the time versus 32.0% without. They controlled for word count, headings and domain authority, and called it an independent signal.
Here is why I think they are measuring a shadow. They did not control for retrieval rank, which was their own biggest finding: position one cited 58.4%, position ten 14.2%. That effect is four times the schema gap, and pages that bother with structured data are systematically the pages that rank. The Ahrefs design holds the page constant and measures before and after, which is the stronger instrument for a causal question.
What to do: ship schema for entity hygiene and rich results, which are real. Do not ship it expecting citations, and do not let anyone bill you for it as AI visibility work.
Ahrefs, Linehan & Guan, May 2026 · Fischman, SSRN 6284518, February 2026, not peer reviewed, and the author sells GEO software · AirOps with Kevin Indig, April 2026
Two and three
AI did not kill SEO, and llms.txt is not the new robots.txt
Ahrefs looked at 137,210 domains in mid-2026. About 28% had published an llms.txt. Of those, 97% got no requests at all that month, from anything.
OpenAI, Anthropic and Perplexity each publish one for their own docs. None documents its crawler reading yours. People keep mistaking the first thing for the second. Publishing it costs nothing, and this page has one. Believing it does something is the expensive part.
The bigger myth dies on one number. Search rank is still the strongest surviving predictor of whether a model cites you, dominating every other variable at p below 0.001. Position one gets cited in 43% of queries. Position seven, 5%.
GEO is SEO plus reputation, not instead of it. Anybody telling you to stop doing search work is selling you the replacement.
What did change is what a click is worth. Pew found 8% of people click a result when an AI summary appears, against 15% when it does not, and 68% of US searches now end with no click at all. Fewer clicks, but Semrush put the surviving AI visitor at 4.4 times the value of an organic one.
Ahrefs, "We Analyzed 137K Sites", June 2026 · Pew Research Center, July 2025, 68,879 searches · SparkToro with Similarweb, 2026 · Semrush, July 2025, sample not disclosed
Four
Getting cited is not the same as getting recommended.
This is the finding that should change your week.
Lily Ray tested 100 commercial queries across AI Overviews in mid-2026. When a brand's own "best of" page got cited, that brand was left out of the actual recommendation 69% of the time. The model read their page, took the list, and recommended a competitor from it.
The Ahrefs experiment found the same pattern independently, at 43%. Two different teams, two methods, same uncomfortable answer.
So a dashboard showing your citations climbing can be showing you a machine that is politely using your research to sell somebody else's product. Measure whether you are named in the answer, not whether you appear in the footnotes.
That is the specific thing the free audit checks: not whether you were quoted, but whether you were recommended.
Ray, L., June 2026. 100 B2B queries, 224 of 323 instances. Observational · Ahrefs, July 2026
Which brings us back to the wall
Forty thousand years ago somebody put a hand on rock and blew pigment around it, and the message was I was here. Every system since has been a way of asking that question on somebody else's behalf and getting an answer back.
Google answered it by counting who pointed at you. The models answer it by counting who agrees about you. Neither one has ever had an opinion. They just tally.
Your entire job is making sure enough walls say it.
If you want to know how many walls currently do, the free audit takes about a minute.
You cannot fix consensus you have not measured.
The scorecard checks whether the engines that decide these things currently name you. It is free, it takes about a minute, and if it tells you nothing you did not already know, close the tab.
No call. No demo. It either tells you something useful or it does not.
Definitions
- Generative engine optimization (GEO)
- The practice of becoming the answer that AI systems give. It works on agreement across independent sources rather than on optimising a single page, which is what separates it from traditional search work.
- Consensus engine
- A system that returns the most agreed-upon answer rather than an original one. Google counted citations between documents. Language models count co-occurrence across a corpus. Both tally rather than think.
- Citation versus recommendation
- Being cited means a model used your page as a source. Being recommended means it named you as the answer. Studies in 2026 found brands cited but not recommended between 43% and 69% of the time.
- Schema markup
- Structured data in JSON-LD that describes a page to machines. Controlled studies through 2026 found no reliable independent lift in AI citations from adding it.
